1
Boleto
2yo Colt · 9-9 · OR 74
Nottingham · Weatherbys VAT Services Nursery Handicap · 6f 18y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▼2
Strength83%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 8.7)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.9
Today: 5
Class gap: +2.1
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-11 | York | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 19th | 14th | +4 |
| 2026-06-02 | Pontefract | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength2%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 17/06/2026 | 19th | 33/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 29% | -0.53 |