6

Dissenter

2yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 68

Nottingham · Weatherbys VAT Services Nursery Handicap · 6f 18y

#3

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Built on her debut promise when a hard-fought winner of an ordinary Chepstow maiden (6f) 10 days ago. Good-value claimer retained and doesn't have much improvement to find on nursery bow.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Bath 01/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 5f160y Fm 1211/0755 @ Chepstow 24/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 6f16y GF 12824/075projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-24Chepstow51st1st0
2026-07-01Bath55th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0724/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 7
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/07/20265th11/142%60%+0.18
24/07/20261st15/261%100%+0.39