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7

Harry's Pop

2yo Gelding · 9-2 · OR 67

Nottingham · Weatherbys VAT Services Nursery Handicap · 6f 18y

#6

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well-backed fourth (front 3 all improved next time) at Chester on second start. Gelded following a wayward performance at Bath and looked more straightforward when 3¾ lengths fourth at Southwell latest. Needs to build on that now switched to a nursery.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength54%

What the class read says

Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Windsor 23/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR - · 6f12y GF 13023/0552 @ Chester 12/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f17y GS 130 · HIGHER CLASS12/0625 @ Bath 01/07/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 5f160y Fm 1291/0755 @ Southwell 23/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f16y Std 13323/075projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-23Southwell54th4th0
2026-07-01Bath511th11th0
2026-06-12Chester24th0th+3
2026-05-23Windsor57th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/0512/061/0723/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength39%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20267th11/142%45%+0.03
12/06/20264th10/382%63%-0.20
01/07/202611th7/163%0%-0.63
23/07/20264th25/10%73%+0.73