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Mobadir

2yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 68

Nottingham · Weatherbys VAT Services Nursery Handicap · 6f 18y

#7

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Son of No Nay Never. Still looked extremely raw when beaten less than 5 lengths in a Doncaster novice that's worked out well on qualifying run. Subsequent gelding operation likely to have done him the world of good. Could capitalise on a potentially lenient opening mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength55%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.7
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.3
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack3 @ Salisbury 14/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 5f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS14/0534 @ Goodwood 07/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR - · 6f Sft 130 · HIGHER CLASS7/0644 @ Doncaster 03/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 6f2y GF 133 · HIGHER CLASS3/074projClass-projected finish: 7th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-03Doncaster47th6th+1
2026-06-07Goodwood46th5th+1
2026-05-14Salisbury36th4th+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/057/063/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength47%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/05/20266th17/255%0%-0.55
07/06/20266th9/276%0%-0.76
03/07/20267th9/153%40%-0.13