6
Up The Monk
4yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 47
Nottingham · weatherbysshop.co.uk Handicap · 5f 8y
#5
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 6
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-01 | Thirsk | 6 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Southwell | 6 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-11 | Southwell | 6 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Southwell | 6 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Southwell | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Chelmsford City | 6 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength14%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 60% | -0.06 |
| 11/01/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |
| 26/01/2026 | 9th | 18/5 | 81% | 0% | -0.81 |
| 29/01/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 05/02/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 55% | -0.22 |
| 24/02/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 11/03/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 30% | -0.17 |
| 21/03/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 01/07/2026 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |