Aussie Pearl
3yo Filly · 9-1 · OR 62
Nottingham · Weatherbys BetTrends Handicap · 1m 2f 50y
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-25 | Hamilton | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Hamilton | 3 | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-10-22 | Newmarket | 3 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2025-10-07 | Leicester | 4 | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 4.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/10/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 75% | -0.07 |
| 22/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 10/06/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 25/06/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |