3
Del Corso
3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 67
Nottingham · Weatherbys BetTrends Handicap · 1m 2f 50y
#1
Rank
Odds
2/5
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
100%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Nottingham | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Newbury | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-06 | Lingfield | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Yarmouth | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-08 | Nottingham | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-12-22 | Lingfield | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 4
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength61%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 4. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/10/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 27/11/2025 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 55% | -0.06 |
| 22/12/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 55% | +0.39 |
| 08/04/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 82% | +0.03 |
| 30/04/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 60% | -0.33 |
| 06/06/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 2/5 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |