2

Sedeirah

3yo Filly · 9-7 · OR 68

Nottingham · Weatherbys BetTrends Handicap · 1m 2f 50y

#4

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Plenty of promise in her 3 runs so far, most recently when third of 5 in maiden at this course (8.3f, good to firm) just over a fortnight ago. Looks a likely improver now upped to 1¼m for her handicap debut.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move2
Strength76%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.2 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Haydock 25/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 1m37y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS25/0442 @ Pontefract 29/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 1m6y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS29/0624 @ Nottingham 18/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 1m75y Goo 128 · HIGHER CLASS18/074projClass-projected finish: 1st of 4
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Nottingham43rd2nd+1
2026-06-29Pontefract22nd-2th+3
2026-04-25Haydock46th5th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0429/0618/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 4
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength52%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 4. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/04/20266th28/10%29%+0.29
29/06/20262nd17/255%75%+0.20
18/07/20263rd18/15%50%+0.45