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6

Pretty Spirited

4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 53

Nottingham · Weatherbys Racing Bank Handicap · 1m 75y

#4

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Successful at Leicester and Lingfield last summer. Resumed with a good third of 12 at Doncaster (1m) in April but tailed off over C&D (good to soft) the following month. Not seen since and returns for a new yard.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength23%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.8
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack6 @ Southwell 08/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 45 · 1m13y Std 129 · beat its mark08/04/2025 · OR 45 par8/046OR 456 @ Wetherby 27/04/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR 50 · 1m Goo 130 · beat its mark27/04/2025 · OR 50 par6 @ Wolverhampton 10/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 49 · 1m142y Std 124 · beat its mark10/06/2025 · OR 49 par10/066OR 496 @ Nottingham 05/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 48 · 1m2f50y Goo 124 · beat its mark05/07/2025 · OR 48 par6 @ Leicester 23/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 47 · 1m53y Goo 127 · beat its mark23/07/2025 · OR 47 par23/076OR 476 @ Lingfield 26/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 50 · 1m1y Std 125 · beat its mark26/08/2025 · OR 50 par6 @ Wolverhampton 06/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR 54 · 1m142y Std 135 · beat its mark06/09/2025 · OR 54 par6/096OR 546 @ Doncaster 25/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR 53 · 7f213y Goo 124 · beat its mark25/04/2026 · OR 53 par5 @ Nottingham 19/05/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 54 · 1m75y Goo 126 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 54 par19/055OR 54projClass-projected finish: 5th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-05-19Nottingham512th12th0
2026-04-25Doncaster63rd4th−1
2025-09-06Wolverhampton63rd4th−1
2025-08-26Lingfield61st2nd−1
2025-07-23Leicester61st2nd−1
2025-07-05Nottingham64th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/045/076/0919/05
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength27%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/04/20252nd66/10%89%+0.89
27/04/20254th11/142%73%+0.31
10/06/20255th5/174%33%-0.40
05/07/20254th8/158%57%-0.01
23/07/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
26/08/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
06/09/20253rd2/189%80%-0.09
25/04/20263rd14/126%82%+0.56
19/05/202612th11/142%0%-0.42