7

Bravo Kitten

7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 83

Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#5

Rank

Odds

10/11

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength40%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Gulfstream 19/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 86 · 1m110y Fas 123 · below its mark19/12/2025 · OR 86 par19/12C8OR 86C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 23/01/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 90 · 1m110y 118 · below its mark23/01/2026 · OR 90 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 22/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 89 · 1m110y 118 · beat its mark22/02/2026 · OR 89 par22/02C8OR 89C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 21/03/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR - · 1m3f Fm 115 · HIGHER CLASSC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 03/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR 91 · 1m110y Fm 119 · below its mark03/04/2026 · OR 91 par3/04C8OR 91C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 19/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 93 · 1m110y Fm 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 93 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 18/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 88 · 1m 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark18/05/2026 · OR 88 par18/05C7OR 88C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 08/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 84 · 1m 123 · below its mark08/06/2026 · OR 84 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 23/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 84 · 1m Fas 123 · below its mark23/06/2026 · OR 84 par23/06C8OR 84projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-23Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-06-08Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-05-18Presque Isle Downs?7th6th+1
2026-04-19Tampa Bay Downs?4th3rd+1
2026-04-03Tampa Bay Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-03-21Tampa Bay Downs?4th3rd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1221/0318/0523/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength81%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/12/20256th9/276%29%-0.48
23/01/20262nd11/486%88%+0.02
22/02/20261st6/492%100%+0.08
21/03/20264th12/137%57%+0.20
03/04/20262nd5/174%89%+0.15
19/04/20264th9/153%57%+0.05
18/05/20267th6/168%0%-0.68
08/06/20262nd5/287%75%-0.12
23/06/20262nd10/1195%86%-0.10