5
Gossiper
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 97
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-02-27 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-02-12 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-01-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2024-12-15 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2024-11-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 7
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/09/2024 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 04/10/2024 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |
| 18/10/2024 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 30/11/2024 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 15/12/2024 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 18/01/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 12/02/2025 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 27/02/2025 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 27/06/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |