6

La Panda

6yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 75

Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#3

Rank

Odds

3/1

Win Prob

16%

Place Prob

20%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength36%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 01/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 80 · 1m70y Fas 124 · beat its mark01/10/2024 · OR 80 par1/10C8OR 80C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 09/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 80 · 1m Fas 124 · beat its mark09/10/2024 · OR 80 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/09/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 82 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark02/09/2025 · OR 82 par2/09C8OR 82C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 83 · 1m 123 · beat its mark22/09/2025 · OR 83 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 02/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 82 · 1m70y 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/10/2025 · OR 82 par2/10C7OR 82C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 21/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 81 · 1m70y 125 · below its mark21/10/2025 · OR 81 parC8 @ Mountaineer 04/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 83 · 1m 123 · below its mark04/11/2025 · OR 83 par4/11C8OR 83C5 @ Presque Isle Downs 23/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 73 · 1m70y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/06/2026 · OR 73 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 07/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 74 · 1m Fas 123 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 74 par7/07C8OR 74projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-07Presque Isle Downs?1st1st0
2026-06-23Presque Isle Downs?6th3rd+3
2025-11-04Mountaineer?8th8th0
2025-10-21Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2025-10-02Presque Isle Downs?4th3rd+1
2025-09-22Presque Isle Downs?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/1022/094/117/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 7
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength70%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/10/20241st9/488%100%+0.12
09/10/20241st11/893%100%+0.07
02/09/20253rd13/266%60%-0.06
22/09/20251st5/696%100%+0.04
02/10/20254th9/276%40%-0.36
21/10/20254th2/189%40%-0.49
04/11/20258th5/287%13%-0.74
23/06/20266th25/10%44%+0.44
07/07/20261st3/184%100%+0.16