2
Vino Rosato
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 79
Presque Isle Downs · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Turfway Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-06 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-23 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-20 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 7
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength45%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2025 | 1st | 8/13 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 08/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 03/07/2025 | 4th | 7/4 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |
| 20/12/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 91% | +0.05 |
| 23/01/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 50% | -0.41 |
| 06/03/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 18/03/2026 | 3rd | 11/8 | 93% | 71% | -0.21 |
| 08/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 29% | -0.50 |