Adios Buccaneer
6yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 97
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-10 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-01-17 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-10-20 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 86% | +0.15 |
| 03/09/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 24/09/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 20/10/2025 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 17/01/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 24/01/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 13% | -0.03 |
| 20/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 60% | -0.11 |
| 10/06/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 17% | -0.54 |
| 22/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |