1
Bosley
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 79
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
15/8
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.1
Today:
Class gap: -0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-08 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-06-21 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-17 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-11-03 | Mountaineer | ? | 8th | 6th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength84%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2025 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 86% | +0.25 |
| 16/09/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 15/10/2025 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 03/11/2025 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 03/05/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/05/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 78% | +0.12 |
| 03/06/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |