6

Starship Empire

9yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 92

Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/2

Win Prob

91%

Place Prob

68%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength13%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 2.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 25/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 95 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark25/08/2025 · OR 95 par25/08C8OR 95C7 @ Presque Isle Downs 19/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 95 · 1m2f Fas 123 · beat its mark19/09/2025 · OR 95 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 07/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 95 · 1m70y Fas 123 · beat its mark07/10/2025 · OR 95 par7/10C8OR 95C7 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 95 · 1m110y Fas 125 · beat its mark22/10/2025 · OR 95 parC8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 29/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR 95 · 1m110y Fm 123 · below its mark29/11/2025 · OR 95 par29/11C8OR 95C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 04/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 95 · 1m Gd 121 · beat its mark04/01/2026 · OR 95 parC7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 17/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m110y Fm 11617/01C7C7 @ Mountaineer 15/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 99 · 1m Slo 120 · below its mark15/06/2026 · OR 99 parC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 24/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 8 · OR 91 · 1m70y Fas 123 · below its mark24/06/2026 · OR 91 par24/06C7OR 91projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-24Presque Isle Downs?4th4th0
2026-06-15Mountaineer?3rd3rd0
2026-01-17Tampa Bay Downs?9th10th1
2026-01-04Tampa Bay Downs?1st2nd1
2025-11-29Tampa Bay Downs?6th7th1
2025-10-22Presque Isle Downs?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0822/1017/0124/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 6
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength77%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/08/20253rd5/287%60%-0.27
19/09/20251st5/174%100%+0.26
07/10/20251st6/594%100%+0.06
22/10/20251st11/893%100%+0.07
29/11/20256th15/261%55%-0.06
04/01/20261st6/168%100%+0.32
17/01/20269th25/10%27%+0.27
15/06/20263rd5/493%60%-0.33
24/06/20264th5/287%57%-0.30