Up To No Good
4yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 80
Presque Isle Downs · Race 2 - Starter Optional Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 5.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-28 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-03-13 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Turfway Park | ? | 10th | 11th | −1 |
| 2025-09-10 | Kentucky Downs | ? | 11th | 9th | +2 |
| 2025-05-14 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-04-30 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/01/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 19/01/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 27/02/2025 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |
| 30/04/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 14/05/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 10/09/2025 | 11th | 66/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 20/12/2025 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 13/03/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 28/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 70% | +0.23 |