6
Bossy Jeans
5yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 56
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength52%
What the class read says
Favourable class profile — form adjusted for the quality of opposition looks competitive here. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-10 | Penn National | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-13 | Charles Town | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength27%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 70% | -0.12 |
| 21/09/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 78% | +0.15 |
| 18/10/2025 | 10th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 13/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 10/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 01/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 57% | -0.09 |
| 10/06/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 23/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |