7
Motown Honey
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 60
Presque Isle Downs · Race 3 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength12%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-10-11 | Meadowlands | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-09-11 | Penn National | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-07-13 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-06-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 11th | 9th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength4%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |
| 16/05/2025 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 07/06/2025 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 13/07/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 11/09/2025 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 57% | -0.32 |
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 23/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |