10
He's On The Fly
9yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 66
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-05 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-06-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2024 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 07/10/2024 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/05/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/06/2025 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 02/07/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 15/08/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 02/09/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 22/09/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 05/11/2025 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |