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8

Mor Spring Spirit

6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 80

Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f

#6

Rank

Odds

13/8

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength38%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC7 @ Presque Isle Downs 25/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 97 · 6f110y 125 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/08/2025 · OR 97 par25/08C7OR 97C7 @ Presque Isle Downs 01/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 98 · 6f110y Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/10/2025 · OR 98 parC7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 27/12/2025 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 99 · 6f 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark27/12/2025 · OR 99 par27/12C7OR 99C7 @ Tampa Bay Downs 23/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 95 · 6f 119 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/01/2026 · OR 95 parC6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 14/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 99 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark14/02/2026 · OR 99 par14/02C6OR 99C8 @ Tampa Bay Downs 13/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR 100 · 6f Fas 118 · below its mark13/03/2026 · OR 100 parC6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 19/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 102 · 6f 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark19/04/2026 · OR 102 par19/04C6OR 102C7 @ Presque Isle Downs 01/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 94 · 6f 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 94 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 22/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 87 · 6f 123 · below its mark22/07/2026 · OR 87 par22/07C8OR 87projClass-projected finish: 8th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Presque Isle Downs?5th5th0
2026-06-01Presque Isle Downs?7th6th+1
2026-04-19Tampa Bay Downs?7th5th+2
2026-03-13Tampa Bay Downs?6th6th0
2026-02-14Tampa Bay Downs?2nd0th+2
2026-01-23Tampa Bay Downs?1st0th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0823/0119/0422/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/08/20252nd1/297%80%-0.17
01/10/20252nd2/598%80%-0.18
27/12/20256th9/276%17%-0.60
23/01/20261st12/137%100%+0.63
14/02/20262nd11/486%88%+0.02
13/03/20266th10/382%38%-0.45
19/04/20267th9/153%33%-0.19
01/06/20267th2/189%0%-0.89
22/07/20265th13/891%0%-0.91