Showdown King
6yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 82
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
13/2
Win Prob
50%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-07 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-10-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2025-10-01 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/08/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 10/09/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 24/09/2025 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 75% | +0.04 |
| 01/10/2025 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 18/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 09/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 75% | +0.01 |
| 22/06/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 25% | -0.54 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |