2
Truth And Honesty
7yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 73
Presque Isle Downs · Race 4 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-13 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-22 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-09-29 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2025 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 40% | -0.34 |
| 15/08/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 03/09/2025 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 29/09/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/10/2025 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 27/05/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 25% | -0.43 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 20% | -0.56 |
| 22/06/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |