6
Les Is Best
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 91
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-14 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-04-23 | Keeneland | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-01-18 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-01-03 | Turfway Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-11-07 | Churchill Downs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/07/2025 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 70% | +0.09 |
| 10/08/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 30/08/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 25/09/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 07/11/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 03/01/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 18/01/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 90% | +0.19 |
| 23/04/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 33% | +0.18 |
| 14/06/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 67% | +0.09 |