1
Mima Princess
4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 55
Presque Isle Downs · Race 5 - Allowance · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 5th | −3 |
| 2026-06-17 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 7th | −3 |
| 2026-05-26 | Mountaineer | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Thistledown | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Thistledown | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 6th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength35%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/07/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 02/10/2025 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 19/11/2025 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 02/05/2026 | 4th | 50/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 11/05/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 26/05/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 17/06/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 40% | -0.13 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 20/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |