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3

Sea Runner

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 99

Presque Isle Downs · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength45%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Santa Anita 07/06/2025 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 101 · 1m110y Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/06/2025 · OR 101 par7/06C1OR 101C6 @ Del Mar 21/07/2025 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR 100 · 1m110y Fm 121 · below its mark21/07/2025 · OR 100 parC6 @ Del Mar 09/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 100 · 1m Fm 121 · below its mark09/08/2025 · OR 100 par9/08C6OR 100C5 @ Horseshoe Indianapolis 16/09/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR 105 · 1m Gd 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/09/2025 · OR 105 parC5 @ Keeneland 24/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR 106 · 1m110y Fm 118 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/10/2025 · OR 106 par24/10C5OR 106C5 @ Turfway Park 18/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 105 · 6f110y Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/12/2025 · OR 105 parC5 @ Turfway Park 07/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR 104 · 6f110y 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark07/02/2026 · OR 104 par7/02C5OR 104C6 @ Turfway Park 28/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 102 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 102 parC6 @ Turfway Park 27/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 103 · 6f 123 · below its mark27/03/2026 · OR 103 par27/03C6OR 103projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-27Turfway Park?8th8th0
2026-02-28Turfway Park?2nd2nd0
2026-02-07Turfway Park?3rd2nd+1
2025-12-18Turfway Park?1st0th+1
2025-10-24Keeneland?11th10th+1
2025-09-16Horseshoe Indianapolis?5th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today7/0616/097/0227/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength67%

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
07/06/20255th20/10%0%0.00
21/07/20255th14/126%64%+0.37
09/08/20255th8/158%43%-0.15
16/09/20255th2/189%60%-0.29
24/10/202511th40/10%9%+0.09
18/12/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
07/02/20263rd15/261%78%+0.17
28/02/20262nd2/189%88%-0.02
27/03/20268th15/890%30%-0.60