7
Cynane
5yo Mare · 8-13 · OR 99
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Satin And Lace Stakes · 6f
#6
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-05-03 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-15 | Turfway Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-01-04 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 9
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength42%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 28/08/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 27/09/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 18/10/2025 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 89% | -0.05 |
| 04/01/2026 | 1st | 5/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 14/02/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 29% | -0.60 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 28/06/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 25% | -0.28 |