9
La Artista
4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 86
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Satin And Lace Stakes · 6f
#9
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-11-22 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-10-21 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-08-04 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-06-25 | Thistledown | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength94%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 30/04/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 57% | +0.20 |
| 19/05/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 25/06/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 04/08/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 15/09/2025 | 2nd | 6/5 | 94% | 83% | -0.10 |
| 21/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 22/11/2025 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 23/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |