Les Reys
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 104
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Satin And Lace Stakes · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
11/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.1)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Monmouth Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-25 | Belmont At The Big A | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Woodbine | ? | 13th | 8th | +4 |
| 2025-10-11 | Woodbine | ? | 1st | -4th | +4 |
| 2025-08-29 | Saratoga | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2024 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 25/10/2024 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 64% | -0.26 |
| 10/07/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |
| 29/08/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 11/10/2025 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 08/11/2025 | 13th | 11/2 | 71% | 8% | -0.63 |
| 15/05/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 25/06/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 80% | -0.04 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 40% | -0.31 |