2
Lost And Found
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 97
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Satin And Lace Stakes · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
47%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 2.9 /10 (raw 2.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-16 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-15 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-03-01 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-11-06 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 9
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength98%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |
| 02/09/2025 | 1st | 4/7 | 97% | 100% | +0.03 |
| 15/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 82% | +0.13 |
| 06/11/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 89% | +0.03 |
| 20/12/2025 | 4th | 10/3 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 01/03/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 27/03/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 15/05/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 16/06/2026 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |