Ribaltagaia
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 107
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Satin And Lace Stakes · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 4.9)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Laurel Park | ? | 7th | 2nd | +4 |
| 2026-04-18 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-08-30 | Monmouth Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2024-12-21 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | -1th | +4 |
| 2024-10-06 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 16th | 11th | +4 |
| 2024-08-15 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 3rd | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/06/2024 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 29/06/2024 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 63% | -0.11 |
| 28/07/2024 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 15/08/2024 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 06/10/2024 | 16th | 150/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 21/12/2024 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 30/08/2025 | 2nd | 8/11 | 96% | 80% | -0.16 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 67% | -0.23 |
| 16/05/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |