1
Wisconsin Gal
4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 82
Presque Isle Downs · Race 7 - Satin And Lace Stakes · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength7%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: -1.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-18 | Colonial Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2026-06-17 | Churchill Downs | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-04-28 | Churchill Downs | ? | 5th | 9th | −3 |
| 2026-04-04 | Laurel Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-03-12 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 9
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength97%
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/2025 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 07/06/2025 | 3rd | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 21/12/2025 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 82% | +0.66 |
| 06/02/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 12/03/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 90% | +0.64 |
| 04/04/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 28/04/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 17/06/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 86% | +0.59 |
| 18/07/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |