2

Good On Ya

10yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 81

Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Thistledown 24/07/2024 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 98 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark24/07/2024 · OR 98 par24/07C6OR 98C5 @ Thistledown 13/08/2024 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 94 · 1m Fas 123 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark13/08/2024 · OR 94 parC5 @ Thistledown 11/09/2024 · Pos 6th of 7 · OR 98 · 6f Fas 119 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark11/09/2024 · OR 98 par11/09C5OR 98C8 @ Mahoning Valley 27/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 88 · 6f 126 · below its mark27/10/2025 · OR 88 parC8 @ Mahoning Valley 08/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 84 · 6f 126 · below its mark08/12/2025 · OR 84 par8/12C8OR 84C8 @ Mahoning Valley 24/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 78 · 1m Slo 126 · below its mark24/12/2025 · OR 78 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 01/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 74 · 6f 123 · below its mark01/06/2026 · OR 74 par1/06C8OR 74C8 @ Presque Isle Downs 16/06/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 74 · 6f 123 · below its mark16/06/2026 · OR 74 parC8 @ Presque Isle Downs 07/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 75 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark07/07/2026 · OR 75 par7/07C8OR 75projClass-projected finish: 4th of 9
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-07Presque Isle Downs?3rd3rd0
2026-06-16Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2026-06-01Presque Isle Downs?2nd2nd0
2025-12-24Mahoning Valley?7th7th0
2025-12-08Mahoning Valley?5th5th0
2025-10-27Mahoning Valley?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0727/101/067/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 10
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength45%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 10.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/07/20243rd12/137%67%+0.30
13/08/20245th15/261%20%-0.41
11/09/20246th16/116%17%+0.01
27/10/20255th9/276%43%-0.33
08/12/20255th13/266%50%-0.16
24/12/20257th4/179%0%-0.79
01/06/20262nd8/158%86%+0.28
16/06/20262nd11/271%83%+0.12
07/07/20263rd9/153%50%-0.03