9
Sydney Street
7yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 82
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
51%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼1
Strength66%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C6.7
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-05-18 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-02-07 | Turfway Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-10 | Turfway Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 10
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▬
Strength71%
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 19/10/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |
| 28/11/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 20% | -0.33 |
| 10/01/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 88% | +0.27 |
| 07/02/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 18/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 08/06/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 02/07/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 15/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 67% | +0.04 |