5
Tapsolution
9yo Gelding · 8-11 · OR 78
Presque Isle Downs · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-20 | Mountaineer | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-30 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Mountaineer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-02 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 10
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength76%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 11/08/2025 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 29% | -0.62 |
| 02/09/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 02/10/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 43% | -0.10 |
| 05/05/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 18/05/2026 | 5th | 2/1 | 89% | 43% | -0.47 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 30/06/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 71% | +0.56 |
| 20/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |