3

The Mean Fiddler

2yo Colt · 9-7

Ripon · Irish Stallion Farms EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#3

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

200,000 gns No Ney Never colt. Wore a tongue strap when narrowly denied on debut at Pontefract (5f) 8 days ago, rallying well. Likely improver stepping up to 6f and probably the one to beat.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Pontefract 26/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 5f3y Goo 13326/074
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Pontefract42nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 4
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength72%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 4. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/07/20262nd7/163%80%+0.17