2

All Good

3yo Filly · 9-2

Ripon · Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★ Timeform

Commentary

No impact in a couple of all-weather maidens last autumn. Likely to need this comeback run before handicaps.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 7.5)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Newcastle 19/09/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f Std 12619/0955 @ Newcastle 14/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f Std 12814/105projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-10-14Newcastle57th8th1
2025-09-19Newcastle58th9th1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0914/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/09/20258th40/10%36%+0.36
14/10/20257th28/10%14%+0.14