3
Queen Sana
3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 69
Ripon · Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
100%
Place Prob
98%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-14 | Ffos Las | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Pontefract | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-06-02 | Pontefract | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-12 | Bath | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Windsor | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-07 | Southwell | 5 | 11th | 12th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 88% | -0.01 |
| 30/12/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 18/03/2026 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 07/04/2026 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 9% | -0.46 |
| 04/05/2026 | 2nd | 18/1 | 5% | 89% | +0.84 |
| 12/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 67% | -0.21 |
| 02/06/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 29/06/2026 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 29% | -0.56 |
| 14/07/2026 | 2nd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |