4

Rohini

3yo Filly · 9-2 · OR 39

Ripon · Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#4

Rank

Odds

80/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

Timeform

Commentary

Has no form in 5 starts to date. Cheekpieces unlikely to make a difference.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 8.8 /10 (raw 7.4)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Nottingham 31/07/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 5f8y GS 12831/0745 @ Southwell 25/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Std 12825/0855 @ Wolverhampton 06/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 5f21y Std 1286/0956 @ Leicester 08/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 43 · 5f Goo 128 · beat its mark08/06/2026 · OR 43 par8/066OR 436 @ Wolverhampton 07/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 41 · 5f21y Std 130 · beat its mark07/07/2026 · OR 41 par7/076OR 41
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-07Wolverhampton67th9th2
2026-06-08Leicester68th10th2
2025-09-06Wolverhampton57th8th1
2025-08-25Southwell58th9th1
2025-07-31Nottingham47th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today31/0725/086/098/067/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength26%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 6. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
31/07/20257th11/142%0%-0.42
25/08/20258th28/10%0%0.00
06/09/20257th200/10%14%+0.14
08/06/20268th25/10%13%+0.13
07/07/20267th80/10%0%0.00