6

Secret Harvest

3yo Filly · 9-2

Ripon · Napoleons Casino And Restaurant Leeds Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Cheap purchase who nearly pulled off a big shock (50/1) when collared late in the day on debut at Leicester (6f). Failed to confirm that form at Bath subsequently and is probably playing for the places on return from 7 weeks off.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Leicester 25/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 6f Goo 12425/0555 @ Bath 13/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 5f160y Goo 12413/065projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 5
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-13Bath56th7th1
2026-05-25Leicester52nd3rd1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0513/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 6
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength0%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/05/20262nd50/10%89%+0.89
13/06/20266th6/168%50%-0.18