1

Angel Numbers

3yo Filly · 9-9 · OR 74

Ripon · Weatherbys Bloodstock Pro Fillies' Handicap · 5f

#3

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

8%

Place Prob

18%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Headstrong sort who posted 2 good runner-up efforts for Dr Richard Newland & Jamie Insole in the spring and right back to form after joining this yard for 12,000 gns when winning 9-runner handicap at Thirsk (5f, good to firm) 18 days ago. Should go well again after 4 lb rise.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move
Strength60%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.7
Higher-class runs: 4
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Southwell 24/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 78 · 4f214y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark24/10/2025 · OR 78 par24/104OR 784 @ Wolverhampton 03/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 76 · 5f21y Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark03/11/2025 · OR 76 par5 @ Wolverhampton 13/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 75 · 5f21y Std 135 · beat its mark13/03/2026 · OR 75 par13/035OR 754 @ Wolverhampton 30/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 76 · 5f21y Std 121 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark30/03/2026 · OR 76 par4 @ Bath 27/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR 76 · 5f10y Fm 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark27/04/2026 · OR 76 par27/044OR 764 @ Goodwood 23/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 9 · OR 76 · 5f Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 76 par4 @ York 12/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 13 · OR 75 · 5f Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/06/2026 · OR 75 par12/064OR 755 @ Windsor 27/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 72 · 5f21y GF 132 · beat its mark27/06/2026 · OR 72 par5 @ Thirsk 16/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 70 · 5f Goo 133 · beat its mark16/07/2026 · OR 70 par16/075OR 70projClass-projected finish: 1st of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Thirsk51st1st0
2026-06-27Windsor54th4th0
2026-06-12York47th6th+1
2026-05-23Goodwood47th6th+1
2026-04-27Bath42nd1st+1
2026-03-30Wolverhampton45th4th+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/1030/0312/0616/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 5
RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend
Strength77%

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 3rd of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/10/20257th15/261%25%-0.36
03/11/20253rd7/163%50%-0.13
13/03/20262nd18/15%88%+0.82
30/03/20265th15/261%43%-0.18
27/04/20262nd11/271%88%+0.16
23/05/20267th11/142%25%-0.17
12/06/20267th10/147%50%+0.03
27/06/20264th6/168%50%-0.18
16/07/20261st7/163%100%+0.37