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3

Marajito

4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 68

Ripon · Weatherbys Bloodstock Pro Fillies' Handicap · 5f

#2

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

11%

Place Prob

21%

Rank

#2

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Best effort this year when winning C&D handicap in late May and chased home a trio of 3-y-os when 3½ lengths fourth of 7 to Zoustar Dreams at Nottingham (5f, good to firm) 16 days ago. Will need to step forward again to land this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength41%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.9)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Ripon 04/08/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR 74 · 5f Gd 136 · beat its mark04/08/2025 · OR 74 par4/085OR 744 @ Newmarket 23/08/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 73 · 5f GF 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/08/2025 · OR 73 par5 @ Southwell 21/09/2025 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR 71 · 4f214y Sta 133 · below its mark21/09/2025 · OR 71 par21/095OR 712 @ Nottingham 02/10/2025 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR 71 · 6f18y Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/10/2025 · OR 71 par5 @ Nottingham 09/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 68 · 5f8y Goo 133 · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 68 par9/055OR 685 @ Ripon 28/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 66 · 5f Goo 131 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Thirsk 16/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 71 · 5f Goo 132 · beat its mark16/06/2026 · OR 71 par16/065OR 715 @ Ayr 05/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 70 · 5f Gd 156 · beat its mark05/07/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Nottingham 18/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 69 · 5f8y Goo 139 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 69 par18/075OR 69projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Nottingham54th4th0
2026-07-05Ayr55th5th0
2026-06-16Thirsk56th6th0
2026-05-28Ripon51st1st0
2026-05-09Nottingham55th5th0
2025-10-02Nottingham214th10th+3

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/082/1016/0618/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength78%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/08/20255th12/137%43%+0.06
23/08/20258th22/10%13%+0.13
21/09/202512th33/10%15%+0.15
02/10/202514th80/10%0%0.00
09/05/20265th22/10%50%+0.50
28/05/20261st14/126%100%+0.74
16/06/20266th11/271%44%-0.27
05/07/20265th16/116%33%+0.18
18/07/20264th5/174%50%-0.24