5
North West Gal
3yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 69
Ripon · Weatherbys Bloodstock Pro Fillies' Handicap · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength26%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 | Ripon | 5 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-11 | Catterick | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Newcastle | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-11-24 | Newcastle | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Catterick | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-10-14 | Leicester | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength23%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 28/10/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 83% | +0.04 |
| 24/11/2025 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 75% | -0.09 |
| 26/11/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 11/05/2026 | 5th | 17/2 | 55% | 43% | -0.12 |
| 28/05/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |