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Zoustar Dreams

3yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 71

Ripon · Weatherbys Bloodstock Pro Fillies' Handicap · 5f

#1

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

81%

Place Prob

58%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dominated from the front when winning back-to-back handicaps at Catterick and Lingfield in late May/early June. Not quite as effective over 6f at Newmarket next time but right back to her best when beating 6 rivals at Nottingham (5f, good to firm) 16 days ago. Should go well again after 5 lb rise.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Newcastle 26/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 5f Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS26/1144 @ Chelmsford City 04/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 68 · 6f Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark04/12/2025 · OR 68 par5 @ Kempton 30/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 5 · OR 66 · 6f Sta 131 · below its mark30/03/2026 · OR 66 par30/035OR 666 @ Yarmouth 28/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 63 · 5f42y Gd 134 · beat its mark28/04/2026 · OR 63 par6 @ Newcastle 19/05/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 60 · 5f Std 131 · beat its mark19/05/2026 · OR 60 par19/056OR 606 @ Catterick 30/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 57 · 5f212y GF 135 · beat its mark30/05/2026 · OR 57 par6 @ Lingfield 06/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 3 · OR 63 · 4f217y Sft 138 · beat its mark06/06/2026 · OR 63 par6/066OR 635 @ Newmarket 20/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR 66 · 6f Goo 131 · beat its mark20/06/2026 · OR 66 par5 @ Nottingham 18/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 66 · 5f8y Goo 132 · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 66 par18/075OR 66projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-18Nottingham51st1st0
2026-06-20Newmarket54th4th0
2026-06-06Lingfield61st2nd−1
2026-05-30Catterick61st2nd−1
2026-05-19Newcastle67th8th−1
2026-04-28Yarmouth64th5th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1128/046/0618/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/11/20253rd13/891%50%-0.41
04/12/20255th6/594%56%-0.38
30/03/20265th14/126%0%-0.26
28/04/20264th13/266%40%-0.26
19/05/20267th13/266%45%-0.20
30/05/20261st13/266%100%+0.34
06/06/20261st9/488%100%+0.12
20/06/20264th11/142%63%+0.20
18/07/20261st5/174%100%+0.26