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3

His Finest Hour

5yo Gelding · 9-5 · OR 73

Ripon · North Yorkshire Ice Cream Championship 2026 Handicap · 1m 1f 170y

#3

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Generally a consistent sort when trained by Ian Williams, winning at Newbury last summer and finishing second on 3 occasions after. Fitness has to be taken on trust for new yard (sold for 20,000gns) after 9 months off/breathing operation but looks to be on a fair mark.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength28%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Wolverhampton 19/10/2024 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m1f104y Std 13119/1054 @ Chelmsford City 12/12/2024 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 74 · 1m2f Std 132 · below its mark12/12/2024 · OR 74 par4 @ Wolverhampton 27/05/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR 73 · 1m1f104y Std 132 · beat its mark27/05/2025 · OR 73 par27/054OR 735 @ Newbury 03/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 71 · 1m2f GF 138 · beat its mark03/07/2025 · OR 71 par4 @ Newbury 18/07/2025 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR 74 · 1m4f Goo 132 · beat its mark18/07/2025 · OR 74 par18/074OR 745 @ Epsom Downs 31/07/2025 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 74 · 1m2f17y Goo 136 · beat its mark31/07/2025 · OR 74 par4 @ Haydock 10/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR 72 · 1m2f100y Goo 130 · beat its mark10/08/2025 · OR 72 par10/084OR 724 @ Doncaster 14/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 72 · 1m2f43y Goo 136 · beat its mark14/09/2025 · OR 72 par4 @ Southwell 23/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR 71 · 1m3f23y Std 126 · beat its mark23/10/2025 · OR 71 par23/104OR 71projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-10-23Southwell42nd2nd0
2025-09-14Doncaster46th6th0
2025-08-10Haydock42nd2nd0
2025-07-31Epsom Downs52nd3rd−1
2025-07-18Newbury44th4th0
2025-07-03Newbury51st2nd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/103/0710/0823/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 5
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength58%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 5. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/10/20241st13/266%100%+0.34
12/12/20248th5/174%13%-0.61
27/05/202511th12/137%17%-0.20
03/07/20251st17/255%100%+0.45
18/07/20254th9/276%25%-0.51
31/07/20252nd11/893%75%-0.18
10/08/20252nd5/174%86%+0.12
14/09/20256th13/266%50%-0.16
23/10/20252nd10/147%91%+0.44