2
Mao Shang Wong
4yo Gelding · 9-8 · OR 76
Ripon · North Yorkshire Ice Cream Championship 2026 Handicap · 1m 1f 170y
#4
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength23%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-05 | Ayr | 4 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Beverley | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | York | 4 | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-27 | Beverley | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-01 | Newcastle | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-04-20 | Newcastle | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 5
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength42%
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 28/03/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 03/04/2026 | 12th | 9/2 | 76% | 21% | -0.55 |
| 20/04/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 40% | -0.47 |
| 01/05/2026 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 36% | -0.16 |
| 27/05/2026 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 12/06/2026 | 13th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.47 |
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 05/07/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 33% | -0.40 |