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Polygram

4yo Filly · 9-5 · OR 68

Ripon · North Yorkshire Ice Cream Championship 2026 Handicap · 1m 1f 170y

#5

Rank

Odds

7/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Fairly useful form for Harry Charlton last year and has been holding her form well for her new yard, opening her account in 7-runner handicap at Pontefract (1m, good to firm, 7/2) 8 days ago. Will need pull out a bit more to defy a penalty but could do so for yard having a good season.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength20%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.1)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Yarmouth 21/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 14 · OR 74 · 1m2f23y GS 135 · beat its mark21/10/2025 · OR 74 par21/105OR 744 @ Musselburgh 12/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 74 · 7f15y Gd 131 · beat its mark12/04/2026 · OR 74 par5 @ Musselburgh 26/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 12 · OR 73 · 1m208y Goo 141 · beat its mark26/04/2026 · OR 73 par26/045OR 735 @ Hamilton 03/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 73 · 1m68y Gd 134 · below its mark03/05/2026 · OR 73 par4 @ Hamilton 17/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 71 · 1m3f15y Gd 134 · beat its mark17/05/2026 · OR 71 par17/054OR 715 @ Ripon 28/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 71 · 1m4f10y Goo 130 · beat its mark28/05/2026 · OR 71 par5 @ Carlisle 09/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR 69 · 1m3f39y Goo 134 · beat its mark09/06/2026 · OR 69 par9/065OR 695 @ Ayr 13/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR 67 · 1m2f Goo 135 · beat its mark13/07/2026 · OR 67 par5 @ Pontefract 26/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 68 · 1m6y Goo 140 · beat its mark26/07/2026 · OR 68 par26/075OR 68projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-26Pontefract51st2nd−1
2026-07-13Ayr52nd3rd−1
2026-06-09Carlisle54th5th−1
2026-05-28Ripon53rd4th−1
2026-05-17Hamilton46th6th0
2026-05-03Hamilton56th7th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/103/059/0626/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 5
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength75%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/10/20255th25/10%69%+0.69
12/04/20267th22/10%33%+0.33
26/04/20267th18/15%45%+0.40
03/05/20266th11/142%29%-0.14
17/05/20266th40/10%44%+0.44
28/05/20263rd7/163%50%-0.13
09/06/20264th9/153%67%+0.14
13/07/20262nd11/271%75%+0.04
26/07/20261st7/282%100%+0.18