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Dacres Cross

3yo Gelding · 9-9 · OR 65

Ripon · Queen Ethelburga's Collegiate Handicap · 1m

#3

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#3

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

A fair 6f juvenile winner who stepped up markedly on his reappearance when fourth in 20-runner York handicap in May. Was at much shorter odds with his sights lowered but failed to improve when fifth at Catterick (7f, firm) since. Steps up to 1m and is on a handy mark if bouncing back and staying.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength74%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 5 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.9 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 6
Class gap: +2.0
Higher-class runs: 6
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Hamilton 16/05/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 6f6y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS16/0544 @ York 12/07/2025 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 70 · 6f Goo 127 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/07/2025 · OR 70 par4 @ Carlisle 12/08/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 70 · 5f182y Goo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/08/2025 · OR 70 par12/084OR 702 @ York 20/08/2025 · Pos 17th of 19 · OR 70 · 6f Goo 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark20/08/2025 · OR 70 par4 @ Doncaster 12/09/2025 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR 74 · 6f2y Goo 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark12/09/2025 · OR 74 par12/094OR 745 @ Pontefract 06/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR 73 · 6f Sft 135 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark06/10/2025 · OR 73 par4 @ Wetherby 26/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR 72 · 7f Goo 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark26/04/2026 · OR 72 par26/044OR 724 @ York 23/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 20 · OR 70 · 7f Goo 125 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark23/05/2026 · OR 70 par5 @ Catterick 08/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 68 · 7f6y GF 131 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark08/07/2026 · OR 68 par8/075OR 68projClass-projected finish: 4th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-08Catterick55th4th+1
2026-05-23York44th2nd+2
2026-04-26Wetherby411th9th+2
2025-10-06Pontefract56th5th+1
2025-09-12Doncaster47th5th+2
2025-08-20York217th12th+4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today16/0520/0826/048/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 8
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

What the projection says

Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
16/05/20254th9/488%50%-0.38
12/07/20253rd17/255%67%+0.11
12/08/20251st7/282%100%+0.18
20/08/202517th33/10%11%+0.11
12/09/20257th80/10%57%+0.57
06/10/20256th9/276%44%-0.32
26/04/202611th18/15%0%-0.05
23/05/20264th80/10%84%+0.84
08/07/20265th4/179%50%-0.29