8
Itszaboy
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 52
Ripon · Queen Ethelburga's Collegiate Handicap · 1m
#8
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▼1
Strength50%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.2
Today: 6
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Beverley | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Redcar | 6 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Redcar | 6 | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-10-27 | Redcar | 5 | 7th | 6th | +1 |
| 2025-10-17 | Redcar | 4 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2025-10-04 | Redcar | 4 | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 8
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength33%
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/10/2025 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 27/10/2025 | 7th | 250/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 20/04/2026 | 11th | 50/1 | 0% | 9% | +0.09 |
| 19/06/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |