4

Scheffler

3yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 62

Ripon · Queen Ethelburga's Collegiate Handicap · 1m

#7

Rank

Odds

22/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Timeform

Commentary

Failed to go on from a promising debut third at Lingfield for Richard Hughes and hasn't beaten a rival in 2 starts for current yard. Easy to look elsewhere.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move1
Strength60%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 5 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.8
Today: 6
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack5 @ Lingfield 27/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 7f1y Std 127 · HIGHER CLASS27/0355 @ Wolverhampton 17/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 6f20y Std 133 · HIGHER CLASS17/0454 @ Lingfield 28/04/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m1y Std 128 · HIGHER CLASS28/0445 @ Carlisle 09/06/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 70 · 1m1f Goo 135 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark09/06/2026 · OR 70 par9/065OR 705 @ Thirsk 16/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR 65 · 7f218y Goo 133 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark16/07/2026 · OR 65 par16/075OR 65projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-16Thirsk54th3rd+1
2026-06-09Carlisle510th9th+1
2026-04-28Lingfield49th7th+2
2026-04-17Wolverhampton59th8th+1
2026-03-27Lingfield53rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0317/0428/049/0616/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 8
UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend
Strength4%

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/03/20263rd11/142%67%+0.25
17/04/20269th7/282%0%-0.82
28/04/20269th20/10%27%+0.27
09/06/202610th50/10%0%0.00
16/07/20264th22/10%0%0.00